Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 in Nepal

Authors

  • Khagendra Adhikari Associated with Mathematics
  • Dhan Bahadur Shrestha Associated with Mathematics
  • Ramesh Gautam Ratna Rajyalaxmi Campus, Tribhuvan University, Nepal
  • Anjana Pokharel Associated with Mathematics

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3126/hssj.v13i1.44560

Keywords:

COVID-19, Transmission dynamics, Nepal

Abstract

In this paper, we use the basic SEIR model to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Nepal. Fitting the model with the data of Nepal, we estimated 26% of Seroprevalence from 13 March, 2021 and the level of control strategies to reduce COVID-19 cases in Nepal. The value of β is approximated 0.0536 for the study period. Reduction of β by 25%, 50%, 75%, reduces reported cumulative cases by the end of 13th March, 2021 by 34.5%, 55.6% and 68.7% respectively.

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Author Biography

Ramesh Gautam, Ratna Rajyalaxmi Campus, Tribhuvan University, Nepal

Lecturer, Department of Mathematics

Cover HSSJ

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Published

2021-08-01

How to Cite

Adhikari, K., Shrestha, D. B., Gautam, R., & Pokharel, A. (2021). Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 in Nepal. Humanities and Social Sciences Journal, 13(1), 155–169. https://doi.org/10.3126/hssj.v13i1.44560

Issue

Vol. 13 No. 1 (2021)

Section

Articles